Is the semiconductor shortage going to get worse?

According to a recent article published by Bloomberg, the shortage of semiconductors continues to worsen. In fact, it seems that the "Lead Time", that is the time it takes a customer, such as an OEM or a designer (such as AMD or NVIDIA), to receive their chips has reached 20.2 weeks for the most common semiconductor devices. advanced and 26.5 weeks for microcontrollers and logic chips. According to the Susquehanna Financial Group, a company that is conducting research on the current shortage, this is the longest wait time recorded since the company started tracking data in 2017.

credit: unsplash.com Indeed, this means that the chip shortage is worsening as a whole, despite the lower prices of video cards and an improvement in the amount of CPUs on the market. If delivery times continue to deteriorate, we may see further price increases for CPUs and GPUs in the future as demand intensifies as we get closer to the holiday season. But there is still hope on the horizon: several reports from TSMC and other industry experts have predicted that the shortage will end around 2022 or 2023. At best we will only have to wait another year, or at most two, before the situation returns to normal, but the recovery will be uneven across different market segments.

The automotive market could suffer a long-term impact, largely because chips are being manufactured on older process nodes that are not employed so widely. On the contrary, those for desktop PCs, such as CPU and GPU, are built on state-of-the-art nodes that will continue to increase production capacity. Therefore, it is logical to expect that these segments will be able to bounce back sooner than others.

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